IMPLICIT in the Reserve Bank's decision to lift official interest rates, for the second time in four months, is an admission of failure. It would, however, be a hard taskmaster who condemned the Reserve Bank for not realising earlier that inflationary pressures in the economy were surging.
"Overall, the board's assessment, based on the gradual increase in underlying inflation this year, and the wider background of above-average global growth and strong domestic demand, was that underlying inflation in the period ahead was likely to exceed previous forecasts," the Reserve Bank said.
The bank has under-estimated the resilience of domestic demand and the impacts of the China-inspired commodity boom and the parallel increase in oil prices on inflation. Its last increase, in May, had no discernible effect on consumer behaviour.